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Rick Scott Would Lose to Relatively-Unknown Democrat Nan Rich, According to PPP Poll

U.S. Sen. Rick Scott said Sunday that he was never told by Homeland Security officials in 2016 when he was Florida's governor that Russian hackers had gained access to voter databases in two Florida counties ahead of the presidential election.
MyFloridaHouse.gov
Florida Gov. Rick Scott before the Florida House.

Almost nobody in Florida knows who Nan Rich is...and she'd trounce Gov. Rick Scott if she ran against him.

That's the conclusion of a PPP pollthat also says Scott is less popular than the polarizing Miami Heat star LeBron James.

By the way, Nan Rich is minority leader of the Florida Senate, and she's announced her intention to run for governor in 2014.

And despite the fact that 86 percent of poll respondents don't know Nan Rich, she still leads Scott in a hypothetical match-up, 47-35 percent.

The poll says more about Scott's continued unpopularity than support for Rich. Only 31 percent of voters approve of the job Scott is doing -- down from the last poll. This despite an unemployment rate in Florida that's falling faster than the rest of the nation.

Scott is weak among women and independents as well as Democrats, and even 17 percent of Republicans say they'd support Rich over Scott.

"While his new approval rating—31%—isn’t the worst he’s ever polled, Scott may have finally hit rock bottom," says a PPP press release.

"He is now officially less popular than one of the most polarizing figures in American pop culture, 3-time NBA MVP LeBron James.," who had a 32 percent approval rating in the poll.

Scott's continued unpopularity raises questions about the national impact of Gov. Scott Walker's victory in Wisconsin. If Scott is so unpopular in Florida, can you say conservative governors are being given a green light nationwide?

Also, Scott’s unpopularity has some impact on the presidential race here. How closely will Mitt Romney want to be associated with Scott during the Republican National Convention in Tampa this August?

Scott's support for a controversial effort to purge voter rolls of non-citizens may be hurting him. The poll says 50 percent of Florida voters disapprove of the voter purge, and only 34 percent approve.

The poll also shows increasing support for gay marriage in Florida -- although a plurality of Florida voters still oppose gay marriage -- 45-42 percent.

See more from the PPP poll below:

PPP surveyed 642 Florida voters from May 31st  to June 3rd. The margin of error for the survey is +/-3.9%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.

Topline results are below.  Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here.

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Rick Scott’s job performance?
Approve................. 31%
Disapprove............ 56%
Not sure ................ 13%

Q2 If there was an election for Congress today,
would you vote Democratic or Republican?
Democratic...................................................... 46%
Republican...................................................... 44%
Undecided....................................................... 10%

Q3 Do you think same-sex marriage should be
legal or illegal?
Legal............................................................... 42%
Illegal .............................................................. 45%
Not sure .......................................................... 13%

Q4 Which of the following best describes your
opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should
be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples
should be allowed to form civil unions but not
legally marry, or there should be no legal
recognition of a gay couple's relationship?
Gay couples should be allowed to legally
marry ..............................................................37%
Gay couples should be allowed to form civil
unions but not marry .......................................35%
There should be no legal recognition of a gay
couple's relationship .......................................26%
Not sure .......................................................... 3%

Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Nan Rich?
Favorable........................................................ 5%
Unfavorable .................................................... 9%
Not sure .......................................................... 86%

Q6 If the candidates for Governor in 2014 were
Democrat Nan Rich and Republican Rick
Scott, who would you vote for?
Nan Rich......................................................... 47%
Rick Scott........................................................ 35%
Not sure .......................................................... 18%

Q7 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Scott’s push to eliminate some people from the
registered voter rolls?
Approve .......................................................... 34%
Disapprove...................................................... 50%
Not sure .......................................................... 17%

Q8 Do you know anyone who has gotten thrown
off the registered voter rolls this year, or not?
Know someone who has................................. 5%
Do not ............................................................. 87%
Not sure .......................................................... 8%

Q9 Are you rooting for the Miami Heat to win the
NBA Championship, or not?
Rooting for the Heat........................................ 36%
Are not ............................................................ 28%
Not sure .......................................................... 35%

Q10 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of LeBron James?
Favorable........................................................ 32%
Unfavorable .................................................... 19%
Not sure .......................................................... 49%

Q11 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Dwayne Wade?
Favorable........................................................ 37%
Unfavorable .................................................... 9%
Not sure .......................................................... 54%

Q12 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Chris Bosh?
Favorable........................................................ 25%
Unfavorable .................................................... 9%
Not sure .......................................................... 66%

Q13 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Erik Spoelstra?
Favorable........................................................ 20%
Unfavorable .................................................... 7%
Not sure .......................................................... 74%

Q14 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Dwight Howard?
Favorable........................................................ 23%
Unfavorable .................................................... 14%
Not sure .......................................................... 63%

Q15 Who did you vote for President in 2008?
John McCain................................................... 43%
Barack Obama................................................ 47%
Someone else/Don't remember ...................... 10%

Q16 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ...................................................... 10%
Somewhat liberal ............................................ 16%
Moderate......................................................... 33%
Somewhat conservative.................................. 25%
Very conservative ........................................... 16%

Q17 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ........................................................... 49%
Man................................................................. 51%

Q18 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ........................................................ 41%
Republican...................................................... 40%
Independent/Other.......................................... 19%

Q19 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2.
If African-American, press 3. If other, press 4.
Hispanic.......................................................... 12%
White .............................................................. 70%
African-American ............................................ 12%
Other............................................................... 5%

Q20 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29........................................................... 12%
30 to 45........................................................... 22%
46 to 65........................................................... 33%
Older than 65.................................................. 33%

Scott Finn is a former news director at WUSF Public Media, which provides in-depth reporting for Tampa Bay and all of Florida.
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