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Hurricane Forecasts Will Start Earlier In 2021

Storm clouds gather above the levee near Lake Pontchartrain as Tropical Storm Cristobal makes landfall on June 07, 2020 in New Orleans.
Sean Gardner
/
Getty Images
Storm clouds gather above the levee near Lake Pontchartrain as Tropical Storm Cristobal makes landfall on June 07, 2020 in New Orleans.

Named storms have formed in the Atlantic before the official June 1 start of hurricane season in each of the last six years. The National Hurricane Center is discussing starting the season in May.

The National Hurricane Center says it will begin issuing Tropical Weather Outlooks in May, weeks before the June 1 beginning of hurricane season. The federal agency is also considering moving up the official start date of the Atlantic hurricane season.

Named systems have formed in the Atlantic prior to the official start of the season in each of the last six years. In 2020, there were two named systems before June 1, tropical storms Arthur and Bertha.

Dennis Feltgen, a meteorologist with the Hurricane Center, says many of the systems that develop in May are short-lived, but are now being identified because of better monitoring and policies that now give names to subtropical storms.

Last year, because of the early storms, the Hurricane Center issued 36 special tropical weather outlooks before June 1. In order to be better prepared, this year forecasters will begin issuing outlooks on May 15.

A team of meteorologists from the National Hurricane Center and other parts of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is also discussing whether the season's official start date should be moved up to May 15.

Any possible changes in the dates for hurricane season wouldn't go into effect until next year at the earliest.

Copyright 2021 NPR. To see more, visit https://www.npr.org.

As NPR's Miami correspondent, Greg Allen reports on the diverse issues and developments tied to the Southeast. He covers everything from breaking news to economic and political stories to arts and environmental stories. He moved into this role in 2006, after four years as NPR's Midwest correspondent.
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