Florida Public Radio Emergency Network

Rain on dry ground is "like pouring water on concrete."

The forecast largely falls in step with NOAA's updated hurricane season outlook, also released Thursday, in continuing to predict an above-average hurricane season.

Favorable atmospheric conditions coupled with an ongoing La Niña are still expected to lead to an above-average hurricane season.

For the last 30 years, heat has been the biggest weather-related cause of death in the nation. Now, there's a tool to help the public and decision-makers try and prevent that loss of life.

In Florida, we tend to see afternoon storms form and dissipate rather quickly. These storms can pop up without much warning, and that makes them hard to forecast.

The greatest rain chances will be for inland areas.

The analysis from Climate Central finds that the average rise in nighttime temperatures of the 11 cities in Florida featured in the analysis is 2.9 degrees.

Storms are expected to be concentrated toward interior and western parts of the peninsula from I-4 southward.

Early season development closer to land is not unusual according to Florida Public Radio Emergency Network meteorologist Justin Ballard.

Eyes are on the Gulf of Mexico this week as a system is forecast to bring heavy rain and the risk of flooding to the Panhandle.

It could bring rounds of heavy rain from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle, while increasing tropical moisture over the greater Tampa Bay region.

The Atlantic Basin has been void of tropical activity this week and that trend could continue through the next five days.